tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6539769009808917053.post158223792285060743..comments2023-10-04T11:43:14.036-05:00Comments on Mishaps at the Bridge Table: Choose the lead ... for 6 silver pointsLakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16177723973206020679noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6539769009808917053.post-57194154902299965562012-06-18T18:43:30.790-05:002012-06-18T18:43:30.790-05:00I agree, club lead looks totally automatic to me t...I agree, club lead looks totally automatic to me too.Lak's pdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05978185537886460346noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6539769009808917053.post-13885738331113498242012-06-18T08:49:41.625-05:002012-06-18T08:49:41.625-05:00Paul,
I'm curious -- why the king of hearts a...Paul,<br /><br />I'm curious -- why the king of hearts and not a small heart?<br /><br />On your second point, I think the odds actually favor a heart. Since I already know my hand, I need to remove it from the probabilities. Partner has 4 of the remaining 8 hearts, so the odds that he has the Ace are 50%. He has 5 of the remaining 12 clubs, so those odds are slightly less than 50%. <br /><br />Of course, he bid clubs and I have a singleton, so it's a very normal lead. Still, our light bidding propelled them to a game no one else bid, so we needed to defeat it. And the "normal" lead had a very heavy cost.Lakhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16177723973206020679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6539769009808917053.post-13281691872269102482012-06-18T02:16:51.243-05:002012-06-18T02:16:51.243-05:00The only alternative to leading a club is the king...The only alternative to leading a club is the king of hearts. However partner is more likely to hold the ace of clubs (5+ clubs against 4 hearts).<br /><br />So a club lead looks very normal.Paul Gipsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13564960646170455536noreply@blogger.com